/@@xs"MP7N*0C88 88 @ "  @ @ @ } @ Li 0  @@@ ,   rF ^U J V]&4 L Nf2 $7 MS  B 7  >  ; o3Ld @}2  kZ 3L  MS @ @/3 0/0 - `_H?HP LaserJet 4/4MHPPCL5ELPT1:@@xGMM(xKdContents^tIndex ,^>;^>^=.^>X C:\ALDUS\USENGLSHxA ..--__ 0- 0- o0- !!!&'()*+!,-./01!TimesNewRomanPS$Arial"$ D:\PM5\LEAVGRDA.WMFR"R"!" D:\PM5\2TRANS4A.WMFYR"R"$% Windows Metafile(xKdxGMMBody text(xKddGMMCaption(xKdxGMMHanging indentU(xKd,GMMHeadlineU(xKdGMMSubhead 1U(xKdxGMMSubhead 2RegistrationPaperBlackRedGreenBlue0al _Rx3_Jx> @  -- @8N*@8N*  -@8N*@8N*# ~  Q  3{#>(.--    @ Figure 4A xGMM (xKd    @ Figure 4B xGMM (xKd    P $Events 1.pm5N?P81 xGMM (xKd  ~  7,:9,:--$::+,+,[ Arial#D-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<?-!MDescriptive Comparison of Time Varying and First Semester Fixed Covariates - #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Mean Number of Courses Droppedc #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Leavers and Graduateslb Arial@-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! LEAVGRAD.PRS*$J!;5J!;5J!-%J!;5J!%j;5j%;5%;5% ;5 %;5-%J!B%!Q>(K.;51--$KJ!~j!u!g!U!<!"!!"""!f!L!3!!!! j!J! *! !! 3 L f      " < U g u !~*!J!SJ!Qb!I{!@!1! ! !!!!!!}!h!W!H!?{!7b!5J!72!?!H!W h }        1 @!I!Q2!SJ!J!$K%EebB"eE%t"kBibkt%%=VlsZB*lV=% *BZs %%$K|"Qz"qq"c"Q"8"""! ! ! !b!H!/!!!!q!Q!1!!/!H!b!!!!!""8"Q"c"q"z"1|"QO"QM"iE"<"-"""!!!!!y!d!S!D!;!3!i1!Q3!9;! D! S!d!y!!!!!!""-"<" E" M"9O"Q|"Q$K(K(k(((((~(^(>(('''''''k'K'+' '''''(>(^(~(((((( (+(K(K(c(|((((o(V(>(&( ('''''|'c'K'3''''' (&(>(V(o(((((((3(K(K$Ky/w/n/`/N/ 5/&/8.F.O.Q.O}.F_.8E.&,. . ....u .U.7,.E._.}...../5/N/`/7n/Uw/uy/L/J/B/9/*///..".$.".v.a.P.A.8.0...0.}8.dA.NP.9a.(v......//(*/99/NB/dJ/}L/y/$K515Q5q5555{5[5;55444444q4Q4144444445w;5u[5w{555555551515I5b5x555l5S5;5#5 54444x4b4I41444444 5#5;5S5l55555555151-%J!BQ ! >( .;57-$KJ!~j!u!g!U!<!"!!"""!f!L!3!!!! j!J! *! !! 3 L f      " < U g u !~*!J!SJ!Qb!I{!@!1! ! !!!!!!}!h!W!H!?{!7b!5J!72!?!H!W h }        1 @!I!Q2!SJ!J!$KQ q      !b !B !" !!     q Q 1  "Bb 1 Q Q i      s Z B *       i Q 9   *BZs  9 Q Q $K|" z" q" c"!Q"!8"3!"E!"S!!\!!^!!\!!S!b!E!H!3!/!!!!! ! ! ! !b !D /!* H! b!!!!!""8" Q"* c"D q"b z" |" O" M" E" <" -" "!"!!'!!/!!1!!/!!'!y!!d!!S! D! ;! 3! 1! 3! ;!q D![ S!F d!5 y!& ! ! ! ! ! "& "5 -"F <"[ E"q M" O" |" $K( (,(L(j(((~(^(>(('''''j'L',' '''''{'i'[(R>(P^(R~([(i({((((( ( ($(=(S(h(y(o(V(>(&( (''y'h'S'='$' '''''' (&(>(}V(o(((((((( ( $Ky/w/ n/- `/K N/e 5/~ / . . . . }. _. E.~ ,.e .K .- . .. ..,.uE.\_.J}.<.3.1.3.</J5/\N/u`/n/w/y/L/J/ B/ 9/4 */I /Z /i .r .z .| .z .r v.i a.Z P.I A.4 8. 0. ..0.8.A.P.a.v.q.h.`.^.`.h/q/*/9/B/J/L/y/$K575W5w5555{5[5;55444444w4W4744444445};5{[5}{555555557575O5h5~555l5S5;5#5 54444~4h4O47444444 5#5;5S5l55555555757 -%F+%Bj!>(.;57 - -$  ww$o o o$iii$&&$|"!!^|"^|"$(''(($y/$.$.y/y/$$5{4{455{@-%FBi!8>(c.+;5 @-$  ww$b b b$111$%%$|"|!|!|"|"|$( ' '(( $y/o.o.y/y/o$5= 4= 4 5 5= -%J!;5J!%;5J!;5%;5%J![ Arial#D-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1I##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!2I#D#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!3I##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!4I#@#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!5I#!#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!6I#:(#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!7I#.#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!8I#65.#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0!#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.2#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.4#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.6#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.8:#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1Z .#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !Event Semester&/.#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Leaver - Varying(#&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! Leaver Fixed(#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Graduate Varying(#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !Graduate Fixed(*@- %WL(L(L($'D'D))' - %~L('L(L( - -$'k'k))'- %^L(L(L(-$KL(l(((((e(G(')))(((v(d(V(Ml(KL(M,(V (d'v''''''''G'e'''' (,(L(L(d(}((t(c(N(8(((((((((}(zd(xL(z4((('''''''8'N'c't'((4(L(L(- %?)L()L(*L(--$K*L(*l(*(*({*(b*(H*(**( *))))))()(r)(Y)(G)(9)(0)l(.)L(0),(9) (G)'Y)'r)')')')')' *'**'H*'b*'{*'*'* (*,(*L(y*L(w*d(o*}(f*(W*(F*(1*(*(*()()()()()(})(n)(e)}(])d([)L(])4(e)(n)(})')')')')')'*'*'1*'F*'W*'f*(o*(w*4(y*L(*L(' Ȉn4p7 Ȉ0$00~ƚ@8N*@ {  7,:9,:--$::+,+,[ Arial#D-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<?-!MDescriptive Comparison of Time Varying and First Semester Fixed Covariates - #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Mean Number of Courses Droppedc #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Leavers and Graduateslb Arial@-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! LEAVGRAD.PRS*$J!;5J!;5J!-%J!;5J!%j;5j%;5%;5% ;5 %;5-%J!B%!Q>(K.;51--$KJ!~j!u!g!U!<!"!!"""!f!L!3!!!! j!J! *! !! 3 L f      " < U g u !~*!J!SJ!Qb!I{!@!1! ! !!!!!!}!h!W!H!?{!7b!5J!72!?!H!W h }        1 @!I!Q2!SJ!J!$K%EebB"eE%t"kBibkt%%=VlsZB*lV=% *BZs %%$K|"Qz"qq"c"Q"8"""! ! ! !b!H!/!!!!q!Q!1!!/!H!b!!!!!""8"Q"c"q"z"1|"QO"QM"iE"<"-"""!!!!!y!d!S!D!;!3!i1!Q3!9;! D! S!d!y!!!!!!""-"<" E" M"9O"Q|"Q$K(K(k(((((~(^(>(('''''''k'K'+' '''''(>(^(~(((((( (+(K(K(c(|((((o(V(>(&( ('''''|'c'K'3''''' (&(>(V(o(((((((3(K(K$Ky/w/n/`/N/ 5/&/8.F.O.Q.O}.F_.8E.&,. . ....u .U.7,.E._.}...../5/N/`/7n/Uw/uy/L/J/B/9/*///..".$.".v.a.P.A.8.0...0.}8.dA.NP.9a.(v......//(*/99/NB/dJ/}L/y/$K515Q5q5555{5[5;55444444q4Q4144444445w;5u[5w{555555551515I5b5x555l5S5;5#5 54444x4b4I41444444 5#5;5S5l55555555151-%J!BQ ! >( .;57-$KJ!~j!u!g!U!<!"!!"""!f!L!3!!!! j!J! *! !! 3 L f      " < U g u !~*!J!SJ!Qb!I{!@!1! ! !!!!!!}!h!W!H!?{!7b!5J!72!?!H!W h }        1 @!I!Q2!SJ!J!$KQ q      !b !B !" !!     q Q 1  "Bb 1 Q Q i      s Z B *       i Q 9   *BZs  9 Q Q $K|" z" q" c"!Q"!8"3!"E!"S!!\!!^!!\!!S!b!E!H!3!/!!!!! ! ! ! !b !D /!* H! b!!!!!""8" Q"* c"D q"b z" |" O" M" E" <" -" "!"!!'!!/!!1!!/!!'!y!!d!!S! D! ;! 3! 1! 3! ;!q D![ S!F d!5 y!& ! ! ! ! ! "& "5 -"F <"[ E"q M" O" |" $K( (,(L(j(((~(^(>(('''''j'L',' '''''{'i'[(R>(P^(R~([(i({((((( ( ($(=(S(h(y(o(V(>(&( (''y'h'S'='$' '''''' (&(>(}V(o(((((((( ( $Ky/w/ n/- `/K N/e 5/~ / . . . . }. _. E.~ ,.e .K .- . .. ..,.uE.\_.J}.<.3.1.3.</J5/\N/u`/n/w/y/L/J/ B/ 9/4 */I /Z /i .r .z .| .z .r v.i a.Z P.I A.4 8. 0. ..0.8.A.P.a.v.q.h.`.^.`.h/q/*/9/B/J/L/y/$K575W5w5555{5[5;55444444w4W4744444445};5{[5}{555555557575O5h5~555l5S5;5#5 54444~4h4O47444444 5#5;5S5l55555555757 -%F+%Bj!>(.;57 - -$  ww$o o o$iii$&&$|"!!^|"^|"$(''(($y/$.$.y/y/$$5{4{455{@-%FBi!8>(c.+;5 @-$  ww$b b b$111$%%$|"|!|!|"|"|$( ' '(( $y/o.o.y/y/o$5= 4= 4 5 5= -%J!;5J!%;5J!;5%;5%J![ Arial#D-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1I##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!2I#D#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!3I##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!4I#@#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!5I#!#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!6I#:(#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!7I#.#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!8I#65.#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0!#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.2#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.4#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.6#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.8:#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1Z .#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !Event Semester&/.#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Leaver - Varying(#&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! Leaver Fixed(#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Graduate Varying(#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !Graduate Fixed(*@- %WL(L(L($'D'D))' - %~L('L(L( - -$'k'k))'- %^L(L(L(-$KL(l(((((e(G(')))(((v(d(V(Ml(KL(M,(V (d'v''''''''G'e'''' (,(L(L(d(}((t(c(N(8(((((((((}(zd(xL(z4((('''''''8'N'c't'((4(L(L(- %?)L()L(*L(--$K*L(*l(*(*({*(b*(H*(**( *))))))()(r)(Y)(G)(9)(0)l(.)L(0),(9) (G)'Y)'r)')')')')' *'**'H*'b*'{*'*'* (*,(*L(y*L(w*d(o*}(f*(W*(F*(1*(*(*()()()()()(})(n)(e)}(])d([)L(])4(e)(n)(})')')')')')'*'*'1*'F*'W*'f*(o*(w*4(y*L(*L('@6PC""WMFIMP.ibW"<  y  7,:9,:--$::+,+,[ Arial-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<?-!MDescriptive Comparison of Time Varying and First Semester Fixed Covariates - #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Mean Number of Courses Droppedb #&;ATM Matrix?<<?! Four-Year and Two-Year Transferslb ArialQ-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! 2TRANS4.PRSq*$!5!5o o !-%!5!%5%{5{%y5y%v5v%r 5r %o 5o -%j, {2"{--$Kuc(JA0SajljatSZAA(/!!p/RA8Zt 0 Jc8uRpa_WN? .,5=?=5,ve VMECEMVieTvC4+#!#+4.C?TNiW_a$K&, $L l       j J *  l L ,     *{Jrjpr{ $ &, , D ] s      j R 9 #  s ] D ,    #9Rj , &, $K{z `B,"575, q_QHF{H[Q;_q"B`z;[{{~o^I3 }us{uc}J43I^o~4Jc{{$KVTK=4+NgyzZ<y"g N4x ^"E<3Z%z%3E+^=xKTV)'2CR[ceci[SR>C-2   -z>iSZiQIGIQZiz')V$K"{""""" "r",R"52"7"5!,!! !!!x!v!{x![!;!!!!!"2"R"r"""""";"["{"{"""""y"c"J"2" ""!!!!!!!{!c!J!4!!!""2"J"c"y""""4"J"c"{"{-%j `2"!-$Kuc(JA0SajljatSZAA(/!!p/RA8Zt 0 Jc8uRpa_WN? .,5=?=5,ve VMECEMVieTvC4+#!#+4.C?TNiW_a$K& $   !0!B!P!Y!j[!JY!*P! B! 0! !  _ A '  *Jj ' A _ $ &       !!$!,!j.!R,!9$!#! ! n X C 2 ## 9 R j   # 2 C X n   & $K4Nzg`yB"ygqN_4QHFHQ_xq^E3%"B%`3zE^x~o2^CIR3[cec[RC2}usu}ziZQIGI3QIZ^ioz~$KV`TK=+zZ<" `@  "<Zz+=K T@V`)`'xiS>- x ` H/->Si/'H)`V`$K"!"!"!"!"!"""%"r"3"R"<"2">""<"!3"!%"!"!!!!!!x!!v!!x!b!!B!!$!! !! ! ! " 2" R" r" " " " !"$!"B!"b!"!"!"!"!"!"!"!y"!c""J""2""""""!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!j!!Q!!;!!&!!!!!" " 2" J" c" y"!"!"&!";!"Q!"j!"!"! -%!j 72"Q( c/5( - -$  >">" $&K K & &K${F{F{$VAAVVA$"v!v! " "$)((M!)M!)$0..= 0= 0$6l?5l?566l@-%!j7!] 2"#(c/{5 @-$  >">" $&{ { !&!&{ $FF!!$VEVEV$"gv!gv!""g$)((\ )\ )$0..7070$6_ ?5_ ?5 6 6_ -%!5!%5!5o %5o o %o ![ Arial-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!2#h#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!3##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!4##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!5#."#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!6#(#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!7#^/#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!8#5.#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0!#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.5#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1.5#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!2#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!2.5 #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!3 .#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !Event SemesterB&<.#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !4-Year Varying@(Y#&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! 4-Year Fixed@(#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !2-Year Varying@(Q#&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! 2-Year Fixed@(}(@- %'y'#'$5 ' '(5(5 ' - %''P' - -$b ' '(b(b '- %'r''-$K.','# ('(A(Z(l(z((r(R(2z(l(Z(A('( (''''k'Q'8'&'2'R'r '''&'8'Q'k'#','.''''(%(6(E(N(V(rX(ZV(AN(+E(6(%((''''''m'\'+M'AD'Z<'r:'<'D'M'\'m'''''.'- %&'''H('--$KZ('X('O( (A('(/(A((Z('l('z('('(~'(^'z(@'l(&'Z( 'A(&'(& (&'&'&'&'&k' 'Q'&'8'@'&'^''~''' ''''''&'(8'/(Q'A(k'O('X('Z('-('+('#('(( (%('6('E('N('V('X('V(m'N(W'E(B'6(1'%("'(''''''''''"''1'm'B'\'W'M'm'D''<'':''<''D''M''\' (m'('#('+('-('Z(''ƚ@8N*@ v  7,:9,:--$::+,+,[ Arial-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<?-!MDescriptive Comparison of Time Varying and First Semester Fixed Covariates - #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!Mean Number of Courses Droppedb #&;ATM Matrix?<<?! Four-Year and Two-Year Transferslb ArialQ-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! 2TRANS4.PRSq*$!5!5o o !-%!5!%5%{5{%y5y%v5v%r 5r %o 5o -%j, {2"{--$Kuc(JA0SajljatSZAA(/!!p/RA8Zt 0 Jc8uRpa_WN? .,5=?=5,ve VMECEMVieTvC4+#!#+4.C?TNiW_a$K&, $L l       j J *  l L ,     *{Jrjpr{ $ &, , D ] s      j R 9 #  s ] D ,    #9Rj , &, $K{z `B,"575, q_QHF{H[Q;_q"B`z;[{{~o^I3 }us{uc}J43I^o~4Jc{{$KVTK=4+NgyzZ<y"g N4x ^"E<3Z%z%3E+^=xKTV)'2CR[ceci[SR>C-2   -z>iSZiQIGIQZiz')V$K"{""""" "r",R"52"7"5!,!! !!!x!v!{x![!;!!!!!"2"R"r"""""";"["{"{"""""y"c"J"2" ""!!!!!!!{!c!J!4!!!""2"J"c"y""""4"J"c"{"{-%j `2"!-$Kuc(JA0SajljatSZAA(/!!p/RA8Zt 0 Jc8uRpa_WN? .,5=?=5,ve VMECEMVieTvC4+#!#+4.C?TNiW_a$K& $   !0!B!P!Y!j[!JY!*P! B! 0! !  _ A '  *Jj ' A _ $ &       !!$!,!j.!R,!9$!#! ! n X C 2 ## 9 R j   # 2 C X n   & $K4Nzg`yB"ygqN_4QHFHQ_xq^E3%"B%`3zE^x~o2^CIR3[cec[RC2}usu}ziZQIGI3QIZ^ioz~$KV`TK=+zZ<" `@  "<Zz+=K T@V`)`'xiS>- x ` H/->Si/'H)`V`$K"!"!"!"!"!"""%"r"3"R"<"2">""<"!3"!%"!"!!!!!!x!!v!!x!b!!B!!$!! !! ! ! " 2" R" r" " " " !"$!"B!"b!"!"!"!"!"!"!"!y"!c""J""2""""""!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!j!!Q!!;!!&!!!!!" " 2" J" c" y"!"!"&!";!"Q!"j!"!"! -%!j 72"Q( c/5( - -$  >">" $&K K & &K${F{F{$VAAVVA$"v!v! " "$)((M!)M!)$0..= 0= 0$6l?5l?566l@-%!j7!] 2"#(c/{5 @-$  >">" $&{ { !&!&{ $FF!!$VEVEV$"gv!gv!""g$)((\ )\ )$0..7070$6_ ?5_ ?5 6 6_ -%!5!%5!5o %5o o %o ![ Arial-. #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!2#h#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!3##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!4##&;ATM Matrix?<<?!5#."#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!6#(#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!7#^/#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!8#5.#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0!#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!0.5#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!1.5#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!2#&;ATM Matrix?<<?!2.5 #&;ATM Matrix?<<?!3 .#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !Event SemesterB&<.#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !4-Year Varying@(Y#&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! 4-Year Fixed@(#&;ATM Matrix?<<? !2-Year Varying@(Q#&;ATM Matrix?<<? ! 2-Year Fixed@(}(@- %'y'#'$5 ' '(5(5 ' - %''P' - -$b ' '(b(b '- %'r''-$K.','# ('(A(Z(l(z((r(R(2z(l(Z(A('( (''''k'Q'8'&'2'R'r '''&'8'Q'k'#','.''''(%(6(E(N(V(rX(ZV(AN(+E(6(%((''''''m'\'+M'AD'Z<'r:'<'D'M'\'m'''''.'- %&'''H('--$KZ('X('O( (A('(/(A((Z('l('z('('(~'(^'z(@'l(&'Z( 'A(&'(& (&'&'&'&'&k' 'Q'&'8'@'&'^''~''' ''''''&'(8'/(Q'A(k'O('X('Z('-('+('#('(( (%('6('E('N('V('X('V(m'N(W'E(B'6(1'%("'(''''''''''"''1'm'B'\'W'M'm'D''<'':''<''D''M''\' (m'('#('+('-('Z(''@6PC""WMFIMP.8pm5\ @ \ Mean Number of Courses DroppeddGMM(xKd @ Mean Number of Courses DroppeddGMM(xKd  @ %%((@  @   @  @       @! ! ! -"-$ @$ $  !% F$`g$ @h$`$ @     @    @